We have seen that the catastrophic events of 2022 have left their mark on the ebb and flow of time in the cryptocurrency market. Many predicted that the market failures seen during the last year would spell the doom of the industry and irreversibly destroy user confidence. However, the market recovery is bringing investors back into the market as blockchain technology is undergoing adoption and related developments.
2023 is set to be a year dominated by activity from global regulators, growing demand among investors for auditable platforms, and a series of large mergers and acquisitions. We can expect to see more Wall Street firms announce partnerships and purchase deals with blockchain providers.
black swan lake
The crypto market remains a highly fragmented, but isolated space, suffering from a lack of cooperation, coordination, and standardization. The impact of this fragmentation is felt worst by the users, who are forced to face massive financial losses. Chainalysis reported that 2022 was the most lucrative year for hackers, topping the $3.8 billion mark, up from $3.3 billion the year before. And this is just one figure showing the amount of money stolen. Bear in mind that some fraudsters are still operating in the blockchain space under the guise of unseen or seemingly credible projects.
With the development of the cryptocurrency ecosystem, security issues have become a top concern in the industry. The industry’s ongoing expansion into the Web3 space is also creating new vectors of attack that must be considered and sealed before they can be exploited. Add to that the lack of a comprehensive global practices playbook on blockchain security and we get an “every man for himself” scenario that doesn’t do users justice.
2022 sees the biggest collapse of such indomitable giants 3ac, ftxAnd Terra / Luna, The allegations surrounding the collapse of FTX and the $250 million anonymous bailout of its founder – Sam Bankman-Fried – are good examples of why the involvement of regulatory authorities is justified. With such clay-footed industry pillars collapsing, people are inevitably starting to rethink the need for regulation and internal compliance of fast-growing companies. But the past is the past and industry players and users should look ahead to the future, which promises new developments. Taking into account the practice and experience gained, we can expect that exchanges, DeFi infrastructure and other market players will become more reliable, transparent and regulated, thus fostering a more attractive environment.
regulate it, regulate it
The above events are echoing in 2023, with voices being raised for a full-fledged regulator Repairs crypto industry, or even demolished of existing infrastructure in the hope of revival. If regulation is absent, it is reasonable to expect companies to assume that the ‘laissez faire’ scenario is at work and start operating unregulated. However, there are some positive by-products that have been extracted from the bitter experiences of 2022.
The importance of regulating the crypto industry cannot be overstated, as the presence of a legal framework that can be said to hold accountability is what gives investors peace of mind in their market operations. The lack of a unified and generally accepted legal framework related to the cryptocurrency industry is undoubtedly the main barrier to large-scale entry into this sector on the part of institutions. With little or no support from the authorities of smaller states in cases of fraud, investors are forced to turn to international legal criminal practice only to find that the legal aspects related to cryptocurrencies are so fragmented and controversial. The effort to recover the lost money seems almost futile.
The general desire of leading countries to strengthen regulation of cryptocurrencies is a positive trend. MiCA and Biden Regulation framework Good starting points, but the increasing de-globalization of the world’s economy is leaving little room for said legal documents to be an overarching force. Brazil appears to be leading the way in terms of licensing arrangements, followed by the UK with its Financial Services and Markets Bill, both of which outline the legal framework for crypto companies to operate in jurisdictions. Africa is likely to become a leader in legalizing crypto alongside the Arab world, especially Dubai, which is leading the charge in creating a conducive environment for crypto investors.
Cybercrime is also becoming a point of focus with more users asking for insurance agreements that can be implemented on-chain or via a. Security Platform that will monitor the entire life cycle of a project, given that audits are no longer reliable. In essence, this is a step towards greater centralization of a decentralized industry, but regardless of the core technical features of blockchain, it appears to be the only way to ensure compliance with regulation and accountability.
The vulnerability of custodial wallets has rightly strengthened users’ security awareness regarding asset storage. The result was a substantial increase in the number of non-custodial and hardware wallet users. With confidence and optimism slowly returning to the market, centralized exchanges continue to be the first place new users look to trade digital assets. The reason behind this is their wide range of features and the convenience they provide in accessing web3, trading and other features. Such platforms are expanding in the right way to give their users more opportunities to discover the possibilities of the decentralized space with the help of an accountable and reliable centralized service.
more mergers and acquisitions
Along comes a reality of the market that is often overlooked, but is actually a fundamental building block of business. Mergers and acquisitions are critical to continuing business processes, reinvigorating brands and keeping the competition bar high. With the collapse of FTX the crypto space has been shattered, with many companies now scrambling to pick up the pieces and a share of the fragmented giant’s many businesses untraceable. Mergers and acquisitions have grown in recent years in both number and transaction volume, with Wall Street players being among the most active participants. Examples of inside market moves can be seen in the frenzy surrounding CoinMarketCap’s acquisition by Binance and Coindesk.
As volatility decreases, the prices of cryptocurrency companies tend to stabilize and grow in tandem with the overall increase in market capitalization. For example, BitGate Exchange has received several acquisition offers over the past few years from various companies in completely different industries, the most generous being from businesses that have had no brush with the world of crypto. Financial companies looking to enter the cryptocurrency market are eager to purchase suitable blockchain-based infrastructure, but companies that have something to offer will be in no hurry to part with their assets. The coming three to five years will be crucial and the biggest M&A deal in the history of business is likely to happen, and it will come from the world of cryptocurrencies.
Outlook and Forecast
As centralization continues to dominate in 2023, it is becoming clear that governments will play a significant role in the development of the crypto industry. The increasing polarization of the global economy, and its focus on nationalization with the shift away from the US dollar as the reserve currency, is pushing for the introduction of CBDCs for international settlements. The deployment of a CBDC is likely to have a huge impact on the crypto market, as it will destroy the influence of independent stablecoins and cryptocurrencies by attracting users to state-backed and secure digital assets with less volatility. By the beginning of 2023, approximately a dozen CBDCs were launched, with 17 projects in pilot mode and another 72 under development.
Liquidity is important for the crypto market, so many are looking to BTC and ETH ETF as a solution. The adoption of the said instruments may affect the exposure of traditional investors to cryptocurrencies. If there are bitcoin etfs allowed2023 could see a revival in the market with a fresh injection of investor confidence on regulatory grounds.
At the end, Definition The introduction of cryptocurrency and related bills in countries dominated by the United States could have a huge impact on the entire cryptocurrency market. Should the US issue a dollar-backed CBDC, the global crypto playing field would change significantly and many states would have to adjust their CBDC programs to remain competitive or wrap them up altogether.
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